In the mid 2000s
Local Government Revenue was increasing, reaching
$1 trillion in 2007. Local revenues faltered in the Great Recession, down to $0.9 trillion in 2009,
partly due to pension fund losses. In the subsequent recovery local revenues have increased steadily, reaching $1.5 trillion in 2020.
Viewed from a GDP perspective, local government revenue has been fluctuating around 7 percent of GDP.
In the Great Recession local revenues declined to 6.4 percent GDP in 2009 and then
recovered to 7.3 percent GDP in 2010. Local revenues have been steady in the 2010s, fluctuating
between 6.5 and 6.8 percent of GDP.
Actual local revenue for 2023 was
6.1 percent GDP.
Local government began the 20th century as the dominant tax collector, with annual revenue
of 3.5 percent of GDP. Local revenue increased rapidly in the first three
decades of the century, peaking at over 9 percent of GDP in the depths of the Great
Depression. Over the middle decades, from 1935 to 1950, local government revenues crashed, declining to 3 percent of GDP in the late 1940s.
Local revenues recovered briskly through 1960,
hitting over 7 percent of GDP. From 1960 to 1990 revenues increased more slowly, reaching just under 7 percent of GDP in the mid 1990s. In the early 2000s local revenues
are showing a slight increase, from 6.5 percent in 2001 to over 7 percent by 2010, but seem to be reaching a limit at
about 7 percent of GDP.
Federal, State, Local Revenue in 20th Century
Chart R.04t: Local Government Revenue by Government Level
At the start of the 20th century, about half of government revenue was local government revenue. Out of a total of 7 percent of GDP, a full 3.5 percent was collected
at the local level. Federal revenue spiked in World War I, but by the mid 1920s, local
government revenue and federal revenue were about equal at 5 percent of GDP, with
state revenue below 2 percent of GDP. During the 1930s this
changed, as state revenue surged to 5 percent of GDP while federal revenue increased to
7 to 8 percent of GDP and local revenue increased to about 6 percent of GDP.
After the spike of World War II, when federal revenue briefly hit almost 24 percent of GDP, state and local governments entered the 1950s at about 4 percent of GDP while
federal revenue fluctuated between 16 and 18 percent of GDP.
Since the 1950s state and local revenue has steadily increased, with state revenue
reaching 10 percent of GDP and local revenue reaching 6.5 percent of GDP in 2000.
After major revenue fluctuations in the dot-com recession of 2001-02 and the
Great Recession of 2008-09 federal revenue in the mid 2010s was about 17 percent GDP,
state revenue 8 percent GDP and local revenue 6.5 percent GDP
State-by-State Comparison of State and Local Revenue
The bubble chart shows total state and local revenue for each state in dollars per capita
compared against the Gross State Product (GSP) in dollars per capita.
The chart shows that the overwhelming number
of states show a correlation between state and local revenue and GSP.
Notable outliers are New York, California, Wyoming and on the high taxing side.
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Usgovernmentspending.com has updated its individual state GSPs for 2025 for each state using the projected national GDP numbers from Table 10.1 in the Historical Tables for the Federal FY2027 Budget and the historical GDP data series from the BEA as a baseline.