In the mid 2000s State Government Revenue clocked in at $1.3 trillion, reaching
$1.6 trillion in 2007. But state revenues cratered in the Great Recession, down to a
little over $0.62 trillion in 2009 before snapping back to $1.5 trillion in 2010.
State revenues increased to about $2 trillion in the late 2010s, with a spike to $3 trillion
in the COVID year of 2020.
Viewed from a GDP perspective, state revenue has seemed to be trending down to around 8 percent GDP.
In the Great Recession state revenues plunged down to 4.4 percent GDP in 2009 and then recovered to 10 percent GDP. In the 2010s revenues slowly declined to about 9 percent GDP.
Actual state revenue for 2023 was
8.5 percent GDP.
At the start of the 20th century state government revenue was the smallest component of
government revenue, amounting to less than 2 percent of GDP each year. But state
government revenue inceased exponentially in the first half of the 20th century, reaching
5 percent of GDP in the late 1930s.
By the end of World War II state government revenue
had been slashed to 3 percent of GDP, but began a slow and steady increase, year on year,
for the second half of the century, reaching almost 10 percent of GDP in 2000. Since
2000 losses in state government pension funds in recession years have created huge
fluctuations in state government revenues, but the great surge in state revenue through much
of the 20th century seems to have ended.
Federal, State, Local Revenue in 20th Century
Chart R.04t: State Government Revenue by Government Level
At the start of the 20th century, about half of government revenue was local government revenue. Out of a total of 7 percent of GDP, a full 3.5 percent was collected
at the local level. Federal revenue spiked in World War I, but by the mid 1920s, local
government revenue and federal revenue were about equal at 5 percent of GDP, with
state revenue below 2 percent of GDP. During the 1930s this
changed, as state revenue surged to 5 percent of GDP while federal revenue increased to
7 to 8 percent of GDP and local revenue increased to about 6 percent of GDP.
After the spike of World War II, when federal revenue briefly hit almost 24 percent of GDP, state and local governments entered the 1950s at about 4 percent of GDP while
federal revenue fluctuated between 16 and 18 percent of GDP.
Since the 1950s state and local revenue has steadily increased, with state revenue
reaching 10 percent of GDP and local revenue reaching 6.5 percent of GDP in 2000.
After major revenue fluctuations in the dot-com recession of 2001-02 and the
Great Recession of 2008-09 federal revenue in the mid 2010s was about 17 percent GDP,
state revenue 8 percent GDP and local revenue 6.5 percent GDP
State-by-State Comparison of State and Local Revenue
The bubble chart shows total state and local revenue for each state in dollars per capita
compared against the Gross State Product (GSP) in dollars per capita.
The chart shows that the overwhelming number
of states show a correlation between state and local revenue and GSP.
Notable outliers are New York, California, Wyoming and on the high taxing side.
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Usgovernmentspending.com has updated its individual state GSPs for 2025 for each state using the projected national GDP numbers from Table 10.1 in the Historical Tables for the Federal FY2027 Budget and the historical GDP data series from the BEA as a baseline.